The trader, who runs the “1000 Crypto Trading” Telegram group with over 1,000 active members, warned his followers last week that a government shutdown would send shockwaves through both traditional and digital markets, triggering a sharp Bitcoin sell-off before a massive rebound.
“The shutdown will break liquidity first, then fix it later,” he wrote just before the funding deadline expired. “Expect a 30–40% Bitcoin correction — and then the rally of the decade. BTC to $250,000 is still on the table.”
At the time of his post, Bitcoin was hovering near $110,000, riding high on renewed institutional interest and ETF-driven demand.
Then came the deadlock in Washington. Congress failed to approve a spending package, forcing a partial shutdown of government operations.
A Timely Warning
CryptoOracle believes that the shutdown would temporarily strengthen the dollar and drain liquidity from markets, forcing Bitcoin into a steep correction before the next leg higher.
“The world still runs on dollar liquidity,” he told his group. “When that stops flowing, even Bitcoin gasps for air – but it’s also when the strongest hands reload.”
His downside target remains $65,000–$75,000, a zone he calls the “fear range,” where he expects deep liquidation and panic before a violent rebound.
Once the U.S. passes a funding deal and macro liquidity returns, he expects Bitcoin to reclaim its uptrend and eventually hit $250,000 within the next two years.
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Why His Prediction Matters
A government shutdown happens when lawmakers fail to pass budget legislation, halting federal operations and shaking economic confidence.
Historically, shutdowns dent market sentiment and short-term growth expectations, but this time, crypto sits at the center of the narrative.
As of Oct. 27th, the largest U.S. federal workers’ union is urging Democrats to end the ongoing government shutdown by supporting a Republican stopgap funding bill.
The standoff, now the second-longest shutdown in U.S. history, has left roughly 900,000 federal employees furloughed and struggling to make ends meet.
Bitcoin’s role as both a risk asset and hedge against fiscal mismanagement means it reacts sharply to such macro stress events.
While some investors flee to the dollar for safety, others see shutdown chaos as proof of why decentralized assets matter in the first place.
CryptoOracle remains a long-term Bitcoin optimist. He insists that post-shutdown, the same liquidity injections and fiscal adjustments that stabilize markets could propel Bitcoin into uncharted territory.
“First comes pain, then comes price discovery,” he wrote after the shutdown began. “The reset will cleanse leverage, kill greed – and pave the way for a true $250K breakout.”